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Discussion Starter · #21 ·
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Tropical Storm Leslie Advisory Number 44
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
500 AM AST Sun Oct 07 2018

...LESLIE HOLDING STEADY IN STRENGTH WHILE MOVING EASTWARD OVER
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.2N 52.0W
ABOUT 800 MI...1290 KM ENE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1365 MI...2195 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 95 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Leslie was
located near latitude 37.2 North, longitude 52.0 West. Leslie is
moving toward the east near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion toward the
east-southeast is expected to begin later today and continue through
the middle of the week, with Leslie moving across the open central
and eastern Atlantic during that time.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are expected, but Leslie is
expected to remain a tropical storm during the next few days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Large swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect
portions of the northeastern coast of the United States, Bermuda,
the Greater and Lesser Antilles, and Atlantic Canada through
tonight. Please consult products from your local weather office as
these conditions could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.






https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024229.png
 

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Discussion Starter · #22 ·
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Leslie Advisory Number 46
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
500 PM AST Sun Oct 07 2018

...LESLIE MARCHES ON WITH NO CHANGE IN SPEED OR STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.9N 49.9W
ABOUT 885 MI...1425 KM ENE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1270 MI...2040 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 115 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Leslie was
located near latitude 35.9 North, longitude 49.9 West. Leslie is
moving toward the east-southeast near 10 mph (17 km/h). This
general motion is expected to continue for the next several days,
with Leslie moving across the open central and eastern Atlantic
during that time.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Small fluctuations in intensity are possible for the next day or
so, and Leslie is expected to remain a tropical storm for the next
couple of days. By mid-week, some strengthening is anticipated and
Leslie could be near hurricane strength on Wednesday or Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Large swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect
portions of the northeastern coast of the United States, Bermuda,
the Greater and Lesser Antilles, and Atlantic Canada through
tonight. Please consult products from your local weather office as
these conditions could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.






https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024229.png
 

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Discussion Starter · #23 ·
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Leslie Advisory Number 47
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 PM AST Sun Oct 07 2018

...LESLIE APPEARS TO BE WEAKER BUT IT WILL RE-INTENSIFY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.7N 49.1W
ABOUT 930 MI...1495 KM ENE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1230 MI...1975 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Leslie was
located near latitude 35.7 North, longitude 49.1 West. Leslie is
moving toward the east-southeast near 13 mph (20 km/h).
Leslie is expected to move across the open central and eastern
Atlantic the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected during the next 24 hours, but
some re-strengthening is likely thereafter.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Large swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect
portions of the northeastern coast of the United States, Bermuda,
the Greater and Lesser Antilles, and Atlantic Canada through
tonight. Please consult products from your local weather office as
these conditions could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.






https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024229.png
 

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Discussion Starter · #24 ·
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Leslie Advisory Number 48
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
500 AM AST Mon Oct 08 2018

...LESLIE STILL LINGERING OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.2N 47.9W
ABOUT 990 MI...1590 KM ENE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1170 MI...1885 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Leslie was
located near latitude 35.2 North, longitude 47.9 West. Leslie is
moving toward the east-southeast near 13 mph (20 km/h) and an
east-southeast to southeast motion is expected during the next few
days across the open central and eastern Atlantic.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slow strengthening is forecast during the next few days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.






https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024229.png
 

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Discussion Starter · #25 ·
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Leslie Advisory Number 49
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 AM AST Mon Oct 08 2018

...LESLIE EXPECTED TO BEGIN STRENGTHENING LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.6N 47.0W
ABOUT 1035 MI...1670 KM ENE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1135 MI...1825 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 120 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Leslie was
located near latitude 34.6 North, longitude 47.0 West. Leslie is
moving toward the east-southeast near 14 mph (22 km/h). An
east-southeast to southeast motion at a slightly slower forward
speed is expected for the next several days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is anticipated, and Leslie could be near
hurricane strength in a few days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.







https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024229.png
 

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Discussion Starter · #26 ·
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Leslie Advisory Number 51
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 PM AST Mon Oct 08 2018

...LONG-LIVED LESLIE A LITTLE STRONGER...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.9N 44.6W
ABOUT 1050 MI...1690 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 135 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Leslie was
located near latitude 32.9 North, longitude 44.6 West. Leslie is
moving toward the southeast near 14 mph (22 km/h). A slower
motion toward the southeast or east-southeast is anticipated over
the next couple of days, with a turn toward the east-northeast
forecast on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next
72 hours, and Leslie could become a hurricane again on Wednesday.

Leslie is a large tropical cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds
extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.






https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024229.png
 

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Discussion Starter · #27 ·
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Leslie Advisory Number 53
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 AM AST Tue Oct 09 2018

...LESLIE HEADING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.3N 43.5W
ABOUT 1045 MI...1680 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSE OR 150 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Leslie was
located near latitude 31.3 North, longitude 43.5 West. Leslie is
moving toward the south-southeast near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. A
slower motion and a turn toward the east-northeast or northeast is
expected by Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is anticipated, and Leslie is forecast
to become a hurricane again on Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.






https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024229.png
 

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Discussion Starter · #28 ·
BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 55
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 PM AST Tue Oct 09 2018

...EVERLASTING LESLIE BECOMES A HURRICANE AGAIN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.5N 42.6W
ABOUT 1070 MI...1720 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSE OR 160 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 29.5 North, longitude 42.6 West. Leslie is
moving toward the south-southeast near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. A
slower motion and a turn toward the east-northeast or northeast is
expected by Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next
48 hours before weakening is anticipated by the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles
(500 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.







https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024229.png
 

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Discussion Starter · #29 ·
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Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 56
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
500 AM AST Wed Oct 10 2018

...LESLIE NOW MOVING SOUTHWARD...
...FORECAST TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 42.6W
ABOUT 1105 MI...1780 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 175 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 28.6 North, longitude 42.6 West. Leslie is moving
toward the south near 10 mph (17 km/h). A slower south-
southeastward motion is expected today, followed by a east-
northeastward motion tonight through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next day or two,
but weakening should begin by Friday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles
(445 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.






https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024229.png
 

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Discussion Starter · #30 ·
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Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 57
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 AM AST Wed Oct 10 2018

...LESLIE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.8N 42.3W
ABOUT 1130 MI...1820 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSE OR 150 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 27.8 North, longitude 42.3 West. Leslie is
moving toward the south-southeast near 7 mph (11 km/h). A slow
turn toward the east-northeast is expected today, followed by a
faster east-northeast motion from tomorrow through the early
weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next day or two,
but weakening should begin by Friday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles
(445 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.






https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024229.png
 

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Discussion Starter · #31 ·
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Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 59
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 PM AST Wed Oct 10 2018

...LESLIE STRENGTHENS WHILE IT TURNS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.9N 41.1W
ABOUT 1070 MI...1725 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 27.9 North, longitude 41.1 West. Leslie is
moving toward the east-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). This
general motion with some increase in forward speed is expected over
the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the
next 48 hours, with weakening forecast over the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles
(390 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 978 mb (28.88 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.







https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024229.png
 

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Discussion Starter · #32 ·
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Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 61
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 AM AST Thu Oct 11 2018

...LESLIE ACCELERATING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.1N 38.3W
ABOUT 895 MI...1440 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 29.1 North, longitude 38.3 West. Leslie is
moving toward the east-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this
general motion with some increase in forward speed could begin by
late Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48
hours, but weakening is expected over the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles
(390 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 978 mb (28.88 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.







https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024229.png
 

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Discussion Starter · #33 ·
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Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 63A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
200 AM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

...LESLIE MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OVER THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.4N 32.4W
ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM SW OF THE AZORES
ABOUT 895 MI...1440 KM W OF MADEIRA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Madeira Island

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 31.4 North, longitude 32.4 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 26 mph (43 km/h). A continued
east-northeast motion with an increase in forward speed is expected
through Friday. Leslie is forecast to slow down and turn toward the
east or east-southeast by Saturday. On the forecast track, Leslie
will pass near Madeira Island by late Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some gradual weakening is forecast during the next 72 hours,
and Leslie could transition into a post-tropical low by Sunday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 75 miles (120 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 969 mb (28.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
beginning early Saturday.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce storm total ac***ulations
of 3 to 6 inches across Madeira Island through Sunday. This could
lead to flash flooding and landslides over mountainous terrain.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of
the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday
and could reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco
over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.






https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024229.png
 

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Discussion Starter · #34 ·
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Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 65
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 AM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

...HURRICANE LESLIE CONTINUES RACING ACROSS THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...
...COULD BRING RAIN AND WIND IMPACTS TO PORTIONS OF THE IBERIAN
PENINSULA SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.0N 28.0W
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM S OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 32 MPH...52 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Madeira Island

Interests in Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 33.0 North, longitude 28.0 West. Leslie is
moving toward the east-northeast near 32 mph (52 km/h). A fast
east-northeastward motion is expected to continue through Saturday
morning, followed by a slower eastward motion late Saturday through
Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north
of Madeira Island on Saturday, and approach the southwestern
portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Sunday, and move inland over
portions of the Iberian Peninsula late Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next day or so, but
Leslie is expected to transition into a powerful post-tropical
cyclone by Saturday night or early Sunday. Additional weakening is
forecast on Sunday, with Leslie expected to dissipate by Monday
after it moves inland.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km),
mainly to the south of the center. Tropical-storm-force winds extend
outward up to 230 miles (370 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
beginning early Saturday.

Post-tropical Leslie will likely bring strong winds to portions of
Portugal and Spain on Sunday. Please see products from your local
meteorological service for more information on this hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain ac***ulations
of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) across southern and central
portions of Portugal and Spain through Sunday.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of
the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday
and will reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco
over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.






https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024229.png
 

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Discussion Starter · #35 ·
BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 67A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
200 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018

...LESLIE MOVING RAPIDLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE IBERIAN
PENINSULA...
...DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.5N 18.5W
ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM NNW OF MADEIRA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 36 MPH...57 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Madeira Island

Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 35.5 North, longitude 18.5 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 36 mph (57 km/h). A fast motion
toward the east-northeast is expected to continue through Sunday.
On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north of
Madeira Island this morning, approach the southwestern portion of
the Iberian Peninsula today, and move inland over portions of
Portugal and Spain tonight and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone later today. Weakening is forecast after
Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula tonight, and the
post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km). Madeira Island recently reported a wind gust of
39 mph (63 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
this morning.

Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to
portions of Portugal late today, and gale-force winds to portions
of western Spain late today through early Sunday. Please see
products from your local meteorological service for more information
on this hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain amounts on the
order of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 4
inches (100 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend.
This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco today, continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.







https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024229.png
 

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Super Moderator
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26,613 Posts
Discussion Starter · #36 ·
BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 68
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
500 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018

...LESLIE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
TOWARD THE IBERIAN PENINSULA...
...DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.2N 16.7W
ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM E OF THE AZORES
ABOUT 680 MI...1090 KM E OF FAIAL ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 38 MPH...61 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Madeira Island

Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 36.2 North, longitude 16.7 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 38 mph (61 km/h). A motion toward
the east-northeast with a gradual decrease in forward speed is
expected through Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of
Leslie will pass north of Madeira Island this morning, approach the
southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula today, and move inland
over portions of Portugal and Spain tonight and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a
hurricane-force post-tropical cyclone later today or tonight.
Weakening is forecast after Leslie moves inland over the Iberian
Peninsula tonight, and the post-tropical cyclone is expected to
dissipate by Sunday night or Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
this morning.

Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to
portions of Portugal late today or tonight, and gale-force winds to
portions of western Spain late today through early Sunday. Please
see products from your local meteorological service for more
information on this hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rainfall
ac***ulations of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts
up to 5 inches (125 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this
weekend. This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco today, continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.






https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024229.png
 

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Super Moderator
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26,613 Posts
Discussion Starter · #37 ·
BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 69
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018

...DEFIANT LESLIE STILL A HURRICANE...
...DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN LATER TODAY AND SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.0N 12.6W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 33 MPH...54 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 38.0 North, longitude 12.6 West. Leslie is
moving toward the northeast near 33 mph (54 km/h), and this motion
is expected to continue during the next 24 hours with a decrease
in forward speed. On this track, the center of Leslie will be near
the southwestern portion of the Iberian peninsula later today, and
move inland over portions of Portugal and Spain tonight and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone during the next several hours. Weakening is
forecast after Leslie moves inland over the Iberian peninsula, and
then dissipate by Sunday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force
to portions of Portugal later today or tonight, and gale-force winds
to portions of western Spain later today through early Sunday.
Please see products from your local meteorological service for more
information on this hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rainfall ac***ulations
of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 5 inches
(125 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend. This
rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend,
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco today and continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.






https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024229.png
 

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Super Moderator
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26,613 Posts
Discussion Starter · #38 ·
Final Warning

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie Advisory Number 70
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
500 PM AST Sat Oct 13 2018

...LONG-LIVED LESLIE PREPARING TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF PORTUGAL AS A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.5N 9.5W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SSW OF PORTO PORTUGAL
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM N OF LISBON PORTUGAL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 35 MPH...56 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie
was located near latitude 40.5 North, longitude 9.5 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 35 mph (56
km/h) and this motion is expected to continue during the next 24
hours with a decrease in forward speed. On this track, the center of
Leslie will be near the west-central coast of Portugal in a few
hours, and move inland over portions of central and northern
Portugal tonight, and across northwestern and northern Spain Sunday
morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast after Leslie moves inland over the
Iberian peninsula, and the cyclone is forecast to dissipate by
Sunday afternoon or evening.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km)
from the center. Lisbon, Portugal recently reported a wind gust to
40 mph (65 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force
to portions of Portugal tonight, and gale-force winds to portions of
western amd northern Spain later tonight through early Sunday.
Please see products from your local meteorological service for more
information on this hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rainfall ac***ulations
of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 5 inches
(125 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend. This
rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend,
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco today and continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Leslie.






https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT13/refresh/AL132018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/024229.png
 
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