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Discussion Starter · #1 ·
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vicente Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP232018
1000 PM CDT Sun Oct 21 2018

...VICENTE AND ITS REMNANTS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.9N 98.7W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico
should monitor the progress of Vicente.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicente was
located near latitude 13.9 North, longitude 98.7 West. Vicente is
moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h). A west-northwestward
turn is expected early Monday, followed by a turn toward the
northwest by late Monday. A northwestward to north-northwestward
motion is forecast on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of
Vicente is expected to approach the southwestern coast of Mexico
on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is forecast, and Vicente is expected to become a
tropical depression by Monday night or Tuesday. Vicente's
circulation is expected to dissipate near the southwestern coast of
Mexico by Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Vicente or its remnants are expected to produce 3 to 6
inches of rain with local amounts to 10 inches through Wednesday
over portions of Guerrero, Michoaca, Colima, and Jalisco in Mexico.
This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding and
landslides within mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.






https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP23/refresh/EP232018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/023539.png
 

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Discussion Starter · #2 ·
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vicente Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP232018
400 PM CDT Mon Oct 22 2018

...VICENTE BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...
...EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE SOON...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.4N 101.5W
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico
should monitor the progress of Vicente.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicente was
located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 101.5 West. Vicente is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and a turn
to the northwest is expected later today followed by a turn to the
north-northwest on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of
Vicente is expected to be near the southwestern coast of Mexico
on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected, and Vicente is
forecast to dissipate within the next day or so.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Vicente or its remnants are expected to produce 3 to 6
inches of rain with local amounts to 10 inches through Wednesday
over portions of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco in Mexico.
This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding and
landslides within mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.







https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP23/refresh/EP232018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/023539.png
 

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Discussion Starter · #3 ·
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vicente Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP232018
1000 PM CDT Mon Oct 22 2018

...VICENTE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 102.0W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico
should monitor the progress of Vicente.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicente was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 102.0 West. Vicente is
moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). This general
motion is expected to continue through landfall on Tuesday in
southwestern Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast, and Vicente is expected to be a tropical
depression at landfall on Tuesday, then rapidly weaken and
dissipate late that day over the Sierra Madre mountains.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Vicente or its remnants are expected to produce 3 to 6
inches of rain with local amounts to 10 inches through Tuesday
over portions of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco in Mexico.
This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding and
landslides within mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.






https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP23/refresh/EP232018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/023539.png
 

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26,613 Posts
Discussion Starter · #4 ·
Final Warning

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Vicente Advisory Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP232018
1000 AM CDT Tue Oct 23 2018

...VICENTE DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW WHILE MOVING INLAND OVER
THE MEXICAN STATE OF MICHOACAN...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 102.4W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NNW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Vicente was located near latitude 18.4 North, longitude 102.4 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northwest near
12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue
today, bringing the system farther inland over Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with
higher gusts. The system is expected to dissipate later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Vicente's remnants are expected to produce 3 to 6
inches of rain with local amounts to 10 inches through today over
portions of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco in Mexico.
This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding and
landslides within mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.






https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP23/refresh/EP232018_wind_probs_34_F120+png/023539.png
 
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